Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio St.
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.0#2
Expected Predictive Rating+17.4#9
Pace71.1#90
Improvement-3.4#288

Offense
Total Offense+10.7#6
Improvement-0.2#175

Defense
Total Defense+9.3#3
Improvement-3.2#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 36.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 92.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen77.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight58.6% n/a n/a
Final Four38.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game24.5% n/a n/a
National Champion14.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 214   Wright St. W 73-42 98%     1 - 0 +24.8 -0.1 +24.4
  Nov 15, 2011 16   Florida W 81-74 82%     2 - 0 +17.4 +6.7 +10.6
  Nov 18, 2011 333   Jackson St. W 85-41 99.7%    3 - 0 +26.2 +8.0 +19.2
  Nov 21, 2011 190   North Florida W 85-50 98%     4 - 0 +30.0 +1.8 +25.3
  Nov 23, 2011 281   VMI W 107-74 99%     5 - 0 +22.7 +5.5 +10.8
  Nov 25, 2011 144   Valparaiso W 80-47 97%     6 - 0 +31.2 +9.7 +23.3
  Nov 29, 2011 15   Duke W 85-63 81%     7 - 0 +32.5 +17.2 +16.0
  Dec 03, 2011 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 64-35 99.5%    8 - 0 +14.7 -0.6 +21.9
  Dec 10, 2011 5   @ Kansas L 67-78 43%     8 - 1 +10.8 +3.1 +8.0
  Dec 14, 2011 147   South Carolina Upstate W 82-58 97%     9 - 1 +22.0 +7.8 +14.0
  Dec 17, 2011 157   @ South Carolina W 74-66 92%     10 - 1 +12.2 +12.1 +1.0
  Dec 20, 2011 102   Lamar W 70-50 95%     11 - 1 +21.3 -1.9 +23.5
  Dec 22, 2011 189   Miami (OH) W 69-40 97%     12 - 1 +27.5 -0.7 +30.3
  Dec 28, 2011 58   Northwestern W 87-54 92%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +37.5 +12.7 +25.2
  Dec 31, 2011 8   @ Indiana L 70-74 55%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +14.7 +1.1 +13.7
  Jan 03, 2012 142   Nebraska W 71-40 97%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +29.6 +0.5 +30.5
  Jan 07, 2012 91   @ Iowa W 76-47 85%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +37.8 +2.5 +34.5
  Jan 10, 2012 77   @ Illinois L 74-79 83%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +5.0 +11.4 -6.7
  Jan 15, 2012 8   Indiana W 80-63 78%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +28.9 +11.3 +18.1
  Jan 21, 2012 142   @ Nebraska W 79-45 91%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +39.4 +6.4 +32.0
  Jan 25, 2012 128   Penn St. W 78-54 96%     18 - 3 6 - 2 +23.2 +4.3 +18.4
  Jan 29, 2012 23   Michigan W 64-49 85%     19 - 3 7 - 2 +24.1 +4.1 +22.4
  Feb 04, 2012 12   @ Wisconsin W 58-52 57%     20 - 3 8 - 2 +24.1 +7.1 +18.2
  Feb 07, 2012 30   Purdue W 87-84 87%     21 - 3 9 - 2 +10.6 +24.0 -13.0
  Feb 11, 2012 3   Michigan St. L 48-58 65%     21 - 4 9 - 3 +6.0 -12.5 +17.8
  Feb 14, 2012 56   @ Minnesota W 78-68 79%     22 - 4 10 - 3 +21.5 +13.4 +8.4
  Feb 18, 2012 23   @ Michigan L 51-56 66%     22 - 5 10 - 4 +10.9 -4.1 +13.8
  Feb 21, 2012 77   Illinois W 83-67 93%     23 - 5 11 - 4 +19.2 +14.8 +4.6
  Feb 26, 2012 12   Wisconsin L 60-63 80%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +8.3 +3.6 +4.3
  Feb 29, 2012 58   @ Northwestern W 75-73 80%     24 - 6 12 - 5 +13.3 +12.2 +1.4
  Mar 04, 2012 3   @ Michigan St. W 72-70 39%     25 - 6 13 - 5 +24.8 +9.5 +15.2
  Mar 09, 2012 30   Purdue W 88-71 80%     26 - 6 +28.0 +19.2 +9.3
  Mar 10, 2012 23   Michigan W 77-55 76%     27 - 6 +34.5 +9.5 +25.3
  Mar 11, 2012 3   Michigan St. L 64-68 52%     27 - 7 +15.4 +9.2 +5.7
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 36.1 56.3 7.6 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.7 36.1 56.3 7.6 0.1 100.0%